The Red Sox and Blue Jays will play the last game of an American League East set Thursday night in Toronto.The Boston Red Sox are distancing themselves from the division pack as well as the rest of the MLB for that matter. Sweeping of the Yankees over the week end, they are nine game ahead the rest of the AL East with seven more wins than any other MLB team in baseball. Toronto is will most likely not make the playoff this season with 28 games separating them from the Boston. This set started with an offensive slugging fest with Boston come out on top 10-7. Mitch Moreland and Jackie Bradley Jr. both went deep in the top of the 10th to pitch their team to a wim. No surprise to any one, JD Martinez was a factor as well, hitting a three-run home run with two outs in the eighth to taking the game to extra innings. The Blue Jays displayed some power as well, hitting three home runs combined as a team but stopping the Boston offense to pick up a win is going to be difficult.
- 3-11 in lat 14 Thursday games
- 4-17 in last 21 games vs. teams with .600+ winning percentages
- 5-1 in last six games vs. left-handed starters
- 6-2 in Porcello’s last eight road starts
The projection model sees the Red Sox taking down the Blue Jays in more than two-thirds of simulations for their Thursday meeting. We’ve got enough value to back Boston and surging starter Rick Porcello. He has shut down Toronto’s lineup for the most part this season, while Blue Jays lefty Ryan Borucki was roughed up in his last performance against the Red Sox.
Prediction: BOSTON -165