The Twins will journey to Detroit today to take on the Tigers in the opening game of an A.L. Central set. Both teams have a losing record and are in second and third the division. Both teams have not made any positive progress in their last 10 games so the Cleveland Indians are running away with the A.L. Central lead. The Minnesota Twins are coming off a set versus the Indians that made no dent in the lead that they had planned. The Cleveland Indians took three of four games in that set, neutralize the set win they got over the KC Royals. The Detroit Tigers have lost six straight games, getting swept back to back by the Athletics and Angels. One of these two teams will have to come back and win this series set.
- 4-1 in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record
- 5-1 on the Under in their last 6 overall
- 10-25 in their last 35 road games
- 5-2 on the Under in their last 7 road games
My data sees the Twins knocking off the Tigers in 70 percent of simulations for their Friday contest. I’m also projecting an average margin of victory of nearly two full runs per contest. These are lopsided numbers for such a meager favorite, which means we have to jump on Minnesota for the implied value.
Prediction: MINNESOTA -115