The Mets have been playing awful with four consecutive losses, but they answer back with three wins in the next five games, including the latest big win over the Reds in the last game of the set. In different circumstances, the Marlins are in a catastrophic run of eight defeats in the previous nine games and they are in last place of the N.L. East, so this set will give us a clue to which team will be at the bottom of their division after it.
- 3-12 in Urena’s last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game
- 3-12 in Urena’s last 15 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game
- 5-0 in Wheeler’s last five starts overall
- 5-0 in Wheeler’s last five starts on grass
I’ve got the Marlins beating the Mets in more than half of simulations for their Friday meeting, giving us strong value on the slight home underdog. Look for improving Miami starter Jose Urena to get the best of New York’s Zach Wheeler in what should be a solid pitching matchup.
Prediction: MIAMI +100