The National League West and National League East meets this afternoon as the San Francisco Giants battle with the New York Mets in the final game of a four-game sires from Citi Field in New York. Bumgarner in his most recent start yielded a season-high six runs (five earned) to the Reds on Saturday which will be in the back on his mind before the frist pitch. The second time in 14 starts that he’s allowed multiple homers, he gave up two home runs in that game. deGrom can become just the eighth qualified pitcher to finish a season with an ERA under 1.75 since MLB lowered the mound to its current height in 1969. What more can be said about the Majors’ ERA leader and a Cy Young Award favorite?
Over is 7-1 in SF last 8 vs. National League East.
Under is 19-8-2 in SF last 29 road games.
Under is 7-3-1 in SF last 11 overall.
NYM are 3-9 in their last 12 Thu. games.
Over is 24-9-4 in NYM last 37 Thu. games.
Under is 15-5-1 in deGroms last 21 on grass.
HEAD TO HEAD:
Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings in New York.
Over is 11-4-2 in the last 17 meetings.
My data sees the Giants beating the Mets in half of simulations for their Thursday meeting, giving us good value on the road underdog in this battle of dominant starters in Madison Bumgarner and Jacob deGrom. The Giants are 5-2 in Bumgarner’s Thursday starts, while the Mets are on a 2-6 run when deGrom faces losing teams at home.
Prediction: SAN FRANCISCO +135