The NBA’s Christmas Day games features five matchups: Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks, Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets, Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics, Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz.
Tear open your gifts early this season so you’re ready for the loaded five-game NBA on Christmas Day.
- Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks (12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets (3 p.m. ET, ABC)
- Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics (5:30 p.m. ET, ABC)
- Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors (8 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
- Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz (10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)
If you are going to wager the NBA’s Christmas Day games, here are a few approaches to follow when Santa comes to town:
Fade the Public -(anti-public)
NBA’s unofficial starting point for the casual fan Day has long been Christmas. The holiday games feature the league’s largest stars players and best teams playing.
With the NBA offering top lineup of basketball match-ups with no other sports to bet, the Christmas Day games will be bombarded with public money.
A simple strategy to profit in sports betting is betting against the public (anti-public). Whichever team sharp gamblers load up on, play the other side. This approach works greatest in heavily-bet games, like those on Christmas.
Teams receiving less than 50% of spread tickets have gone 33-21 against the spread (ATS) on Christmas Day Since 2005. This money making strategy has been profitable in nine of the past 13 seasons.
Christmas Day Unders
Popularized by Barstool’s Big Cat, betting unders Christmas Day has been the gift that keeps on giving. Only once in 13 years has it not been profitable to bet the under in every Christmas Day game.
A lot of gamblers on Christmas Day prefer batting on the over and cheering for points.
Games are some of the most heavily bet in the regular season on Christmas Day , it is fair to think that bookies over inflate the over/under anticipating increased gambling on the over from the public, creating value with betting the under.
If full-game unders have been profitable, one would expect first-half and second-half under to be as well. However, the first-half under is only 28-27-1 (51%) in NBA Christmas Day games since 2005 and the second-half under is 37-18-1 (67%).
One theory is that players get up for these games. What’s up? Motivation is high and there is almost a playoff atmosphere.
This can lead to increased defensive intensity, especially in the second half when the game is on the line and this promotes a lower-scoring environment compare to the first half.